US ELECTION MODEL

State polls (weighted by accuracy of demographic composition in states where this is relevant) are the basis of the projections, however in states where less than 5 recent state polls have been released, national environment-uniform swing come into play.


CURRENT PROJECTION


*with tossups
Joe Biden (D) 289
Donald Trump (R) 195
Tossup 54


*without tossups
Joe Biden (D) 290
Donald Trump (R) 248